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2024-12-13 05:45:40

This means that the probability of interest rate cuts is increased, the interference of not cutting interest rates is reduced, and more help is added for the market to choose an upward breakthrough.The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.Market aspect


At present, photovoltaic is more of a restorative rise in destocking, and it is difficult to get out of the trend market again. Unless new demand breaks out, expectations should not be too high.Before, we also said that a breakthrough here must be broken by a strong external force, and now the breakthrough stems from the important benefits that everyone has conveyed to the meeting. As long as the content of the meeting has not landed, such an expectation can be taken for a while, and the breakthrough here can also be regarded as an effective breakthrough.News surface


Zhu Zeyu's manipulation of 23 stocks, including Tongrun Equipment, was fined nearly 35 million by the CSRC; Wang Zhiheng's manipulation of Dongjie Smart's stock loss exceeded 200 million and was fined 2 million by the CSRC; Obviously, the punishment is increasing. As long as the illegal operation is violated, not only the illegal income will be confiscated, but also a fine will be imposed, even if the loss is no exception, which can play a very good deterrent role and make the market more standardized.Before the US stock market closed on Friday (December 6), the employment situation report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the non-agricultural sector rebounded sharply in November, which was stronger than market expectations, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% as scheduled. According to specific data, the number of non-agricultural employees in the United States increased by 227,000 in November after the seasonal adjustment, the largest increase since March, higher than the market expectation of 200,000, and the data in October was revised from 12,000 to 36,000.This shows that the funds in the market are recognized for such expectations, so it is definitely no problem to rely on expectations here. Naturally, it is no problem to see effective breakthroughs. Unless there is nothing beyond expectations at the meeting, the market may fall back into the triangle arrangement again, otherwise it will continue to be optimistic.

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